MLB Picks & Predictions for May 24, 2026 | SharpSide Model Divergences

Today's MLB slate presents an opportunity to pinpoint market inefficiencies. Our model has identified two matchups where its projections significantly diverge from consensus.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins

SharpSide's model projects a 3.2–4.6 outcome for this game, a stark contrast to the market's 4.7–3.8. This represents a -0.7 run total edge versus the market and a substantial 2.3-run margin edge toward the Marlins. The market appears to undervalue Miami's Tyler Phillips (1.2 ERA) relative to New York's Christian Scott (4.12 ERA), despite neutral park and weather conditions. The model sees hidden value on the home side here.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers

Our model predicts a higher scoring affair in Milwaukee, 5.8–4.3, compared to the consensus 4.7–3.3. This creates a +2.1 run total edge against market expectations. While the margin edge toward the home team is negligible at -0.1 runs, the primary discrepancy lies in the projected total. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3.32 ERA) and Brandon Sproat (5.75 ERA) will start under normal conditions. The model leans toward the OVER in this matchup.

How to read this

These breakdowns highlight where our proprietary model's projections differ from the broader market. This information is for analytical purposes, not financial advice.